To acquire an established star, teams must be willing to part with what is perceived as equal value. That may be in the form of another established star who, while talented, isn’t as skilled in the area the trade is aimed to improve. If there is an imbalance in value, then draft picks may be used to equalize the trade. Less frequently, an established star may be traded solely for draft picks. In the case of Timofey Mozgov, the Cleveland Cavaliers acquired him from the Denver Nuggets in exchange for two first round picks. That’s a steep price for the Russian center with career averages of 6.4ppg, 4.8rpg, and 0.9bpg. So it begs the question, why was this done? It is easy to understand why Denver would make this trade and lose their 7’1″ starting center. They are high on Jusuf Nurkic, a 6’11” Bosnian center, eight years younger than the 28 year old Mozgov and seemingly at minimum as productive. Plus, they’re the ones who get benefit of the draft picks. But why would Cleveland make this trade? For one thing, Cleveland needed a center, especially after Anderson Varejao went down for the season with a knee injury. Also, Mozgov isn’t an entirely unknown commodity, having played for the Russian National Team when coached by the new Cleveland coach, David Blatt. Adding an experienced 7’1″ starting center can only help a team so sorely lacking rim protection, but is Mozgov the answer? And is the price reasonable, even under the circumstances? Anyone watching the Cavaliers this year can see teams exploiting three weaknesses. One is wing defense. That comes as a surprise on a team featuring Lebron James, given the years that he and Duane Wade wreaked havoc in the passing lanes for Miami, like a couple of traffic cops driving Ferraris. Chris Bosh, a very good pick and roll defender is none the less not imposing at all as a rim protector, but it didn’t typically matter with James and Wade in the lanes and on the run. However, Lebron hasn’t been healthy this year, and his best partner on wing defense in Cleveland has been Shawn Marion, who has been slowed by age and his own injuries. When Lebron returned to Cleveland, some expected a recreation of sorts with top overall pick Andrew Wiggins to team with Lebron on the wings. But Wiggins was traded away in the Kevin Love deal. Which brings me to the other two weaknesses, dribble penetration against Kyrie Irving, and points in the paint against Kevin Love. Dribble penetration kills them when Kyrie’s man beats him on the dribble and goes to the unprotected rim, or dishes to someone who does. Similarly, when the ball goes down low against Kevin Love, opposition success rates are pretty high. The Cavaliers hope Iman Shumpert, recently acquired in a trade with the New York Knicks will help the wing defense when his shoulder heals and Lebron returns from his maladies. That is a crucial need because creating havoc in the passing lanes can prevent teams from exploiting Irving and Love so readily. But when all else fails, you must rely on the big guy, your strong presence in the middle, your rim protector to anchor the defense and turn back those who made it through the rest. For Cleveland’s sake, at the cost of not one but two first round picks, let’s hope Timofey Mozgov can do enough of that for them.
Tag Archives: Cleveland Cavaliers
No Love? No Problem for Cavs.
Minneapolis is driving a hard bargain in the Kevin Love negotiations, and it begs the question of what are the consequences should the deal not get done. Many have suggested it is a deal too good for the Cavaliers to not do, and most have suggested that they shouldn’t let reluctance to part with Wiggins, their most recent top overall draft pick get in the way. I cannot argue with the logic, as Kevin Love is clearly a talent worth coveting, and 20 point 10 rebound guarantees with a 6’10” All Star don’t become available every day. However, if we reflect upon what the Cavs look like should they NOT do the deal, it may merit consideration.
Without Love, a projected starting line up for the Cavs would be Kyrie Irving at the point, Kevin Wiggins at shooting guard, Anderson Varejao at center, Tristan Thompson and Love’s position – power forward, and of course, Lebron James on the forward wing. How would you like defensively to have Wiggins and James guarding the wings?
What would the second unit look like? Dion Waiters first off at shooting guard, Bennett – last year’s overall number one behind Tristan Thompson, Brendan Haywood behind Varejao, Mike Miller behind Lebron, and a nice young point guard back-up named Dellavedova behind Kyrie Irving. Now you’re 10 deep, still haven’t accounted for James Jones, let alone Ray Allen should he come along. Get my drift? Of course you would want to add a Kevin Love to the mix, but some pretty positive assets would come off the above accounting to make that happen. Speaking of accounting, add up Thompson, Waiters, Bennett, and Wiggins, and you approximate what Kevin Love will cost you in salary. Then throw in your first pick in next year’s draft. I’m not sure I take that deal. Those guys can compete as they stand.
Can Cleveland Win It All Next Season?
I think they can. They have a young, but seasoned back court in Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters, with 3 and 2 years in the league respectively. They are from high quality, winning college programs at Duke and Syracuse, and can both hit the open jumper. Their biggest adjustment was in asking Waiters to defer to Irving when he’s an inch taller at 6’4″, 32 pounds heavier, similar skill set, and confident from their practice sessions. Neither will have a problem deferring to Lebron James. Arguably, that’s the best in the league at the 1, 2, and 3 positions. The 4 (power forward) and 5 (center) are more challenging, but not at all horrible. Anderson Varejao has 10 years in the league, experience playing with Lebron, and pulled down 9.7 rebounds per game last season. I would say that’s a respectable center position. The problem is, he’s the only center they have, and that needs to be rectified. But it can be, easily, via a trade. Tristan Thompson would be the weak link at the 4, but he won’t start. I’m hoping they keep him, as he will be a high level sub off their bench. The Cavs are already working on a trade for Kevin Love, and if they get him at the 4, with Thompson behind him, they suddenly are powerful at the 1, 2, 3, AND 4, with a respectable 5 in Varejao.
The two Canadian youngsters are not bad ballers, but Messrs. Wiggins and Bennett are likely gone in the Kevin Love deal. I just hope to see a back-up 5 coming back to the Cavs in that deal. And remember, Pau Gasol is still around, would love to play with Lebron, and has no anti-Cleveland bias. The difficulty there is his history with the Lakers in L.A., and Phil Jackson in N.Y., making it difficult to grab him. But if they could, just imagine for a second Kyrie Irving at the 1, Dion Waiters at the 2, Lebron James at the 3, Kevin Love at the 4, and Pau Gasol at the 5…..the ball constantly moving, and all of them capable of hitting the open jumper. On the Cavs bench are a couple of guards, Joe Harris and Matt Delavedova who can do one thing really well, shoot. Of course, there are a couple of veterans, Mike Miller and Ray Allen who have a better history of doing that, and are in the conversation whenever, wherever goes Lebron James.
So, sort through those possibilities if you will, and tell me, can Cleveland win it all next season?
How the Heat Lost Lebron to the Cavs
There is no one thing that led to this “Decision” for Lebron. At the risk of adding to the overuse of the term given the song’s airplay as well as the proliferation of videos on youtube, I will attribute the event to the term “Happy”. Lebron wants to be happy, and this season in Miami was not so. For starters, while Lebron and D. Wade are friends, Wade is family in Miami. Lebron is a friend of the family, nothing wrong with that, but its not the same. I watched close up at a Heat/Pistons game, when Lebron was open at the top of the key, and held his hands out for the pass, which D. Wade, although having a man in his face, looked Lebron in the eye, then boldly took the contested jumper. It wasn’t a big deal, just an example of Wade having more fun than James. As the Heat nurtured Wade’s sore knees, with James sometimes not knowing whether Wade would play until slightly before game time, James’ minutes kept piling up, and the family friend felt that the family was a bit inconsiderate.
Perhaps the most nagging negative was the decision to amnesty Mike Miller. The Big Three Era was built on mutual sacrifice, and the Heat’s releasing Miller for financial reasons was inconsistent with that. Each time Lebron kicked to an open team mate during the Spurs series, and they missed, he thought of Mike Miller having played 82 solid games this year, and how it would have helped to stem the tide of Spur runs if Mike were there to drop a jumper or two.
Even less happy than Lebron were his friends and family, who had been royalty in Cleveland but were commoners in Miami. When Pat Riley made the infamous “Get a grip…” speech, you can believe they unanimously exclaimed to Lebron, “Can you believe this guy?” At the end of the day, the Heat rode Lebron this year, not the other way around, and a message like that would be best delivered privately or not at all. More appropriate would be “Thanks for the huge effort, and my apologies that you didn’t have more help. We can fix that.” As it was, Lebron’s response to the challenge was an appropriate counterpoint, no more sacrifice, max contract required, and let’s see what kind of help you can get for me. In other words, I did my job; now you do yours.
That opened a window of opportunity for Cleveland. What did they do with it? Down came the nasty letter about Lebron from their website. Off went the contracts necessary to open a max offer for Lebron. Out went the feelers to Minnesota about an acquisition of Kevin Love. And then there was the reaching out to the aforementioned, Mike Miller. For frosting on the cake, fresh off his family’s vacation with Lebron and his family, Ray Allen got a call as well.
Luck is when preparation meets opportunity. The Heat created the opportunity, and the Cavs drove a Mack truck through it.
May 31, 2014, Miami Against The Pacers (Cleveland Redux)
After game 5 in the Heat/Pacers series, won by Miami 90 to 79, Lebron made the following statement, “I kind of went back to my Cleveland days at that point….” The fact of the matter is, Lebron spent much of the last year in Cleveland mode for the Heat, and that’s not what he came there for. When he made the above statement, Lebron was averaging 28.4 points per game for the Heat, D. Wade 15.4, and Chris Bosh 12.6. Pat Riley’s message about having the “guts” to stick it out was being sent to a guy laboring to carry that team, sixth highest minutes on average in the entire NBA, and not the highest paid player. Accordingly, the message back to Pat Riley, improve the team and give me a max contract, was a perfectly reasonable one. The Heat didn’t hand Lebron 4 finals and 2 championships; he worked for them, carrying the greatest load start to finish.
So now, Cleveland emerges as a real consideration. Certainly Lebron’s popularity, reputation, and legacy would be enhanced by a return to Cleveland. Further, you couldn’t criticize him for “trophy chasing”, as the Cavs don’t have all the pieces in place to be called a super team. But compare the Cavs to the Heat’s roster. Kyrie Irving and Andrew Wiggins are if nothing else young stars with fresh legs. That cannot be said of Wade and Bosh. There is also more flexibility to fill out the roster there, and more young legs already in position. That begs the question, why would Lebron favor the Heat over a trip back home to Ohio?
The Heat can pay him more money, and their organization needs to buy time to enhance the roster. Accordingly, a two year deal at the maximum salary, with a player option after the first year, and some nifty maneuvering during that first year to entice optimism would be key to any Heat initiative to retain Lebron James. He owes them nothing.